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Read previewBlue-chip US stocks are trading at record levels – but small caps are still feeling the pain. That means the widely-followed gauge is technically still in a bear market, with high interest rates hammering lower-market-cap stocks even as AI powers the "Magnificent Seven" Big Tech titans to massive gains. "40% of Russell 2000 companies lose money, so these are companies that rely on credit to stay afloat." But the Russell 2000 is still in a bear market," he added. Economic bellwetherThe Russell 2000 isn't just a gauge of smaller-cap stock prices – it's also an economic bellwether.
Persons: , Russell, they've, Ronald Temple, Lazard, Charles, Henry Monchau, That's, isn't, it's, JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon, Steve Hanke, David Rosenberg, Hanke, Rosenberg, it'd Organizations: Service, Business, Big Tech titans, Federal Reserve, Facebook, Big Tech, Microsoft, Nvidia, Syz, LinkedIn, JPMorgan Locations: Swiss
European markets open lower amid Middle East turmoil
  + stars: | 2023-10-09 | by ( Holly Ellyatt | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
The next 10 years will be unlike the last two decades for investors, according to investment advisors and wealth managers. Charles-Henry Monchau, chief investment officer at Swiss private bank Syz, said investors risk making long-term decisions with a "cognitive bias" and urges those investing $1 million over the next decade not to extrapolate too much from recent history. Jamie Cox, financial planner at Harris Financial Group, believes international stocks will outperform U.S. stocks in the coming decade as rising rates and inflation change market dynamics. Both share with CNBC Pro their thoughts on how investors with $1 million should invest over the next decade. Subscribers can read more here.
Persons: Charles, Henry Monchau, Jamie Cox, — Ganesh Rao Organizations: Harris Financial Group, CNBC Locations: Swiss
The next 10 years will be unlike the last two decades for investors, according to investment advisors and wealth managers. Those conditions could create more volatility and lower returns for assets that have done well over the past decade, according to Monchau. ELTIFs allow individual investors to invest alongside institutions in assets like infrastructure, private equity and private credit. "The ability to generate income is going to be far and away the better place for the next decade for investment," he said. For younger investors more than 10 years from retirement, Cox recommends a 100% equity portfolio, maximising returns with low-cost index ETFs.
Persons: Charles, Henry Monchau, Monchau, There's, Goldman Sachs, Franklin Templeton, Jamie Cox, Cox, it's, maximising Organizations: CNBC Pro, Swiss, BlackRock, Harris Financial Group, Unilever, Nestle, Broadcom Locations: Swiss, Geneva, Richmond , Virginia
FILE PHOTO:Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 28, 2023. Even as longer-dated Treasury yields eased from 16-year highs on Wednesday, investors remain concerned that the elevated levels may continue to pressure equities. The Labor Department's report showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits rose moderately last week, while layoffs declined in September, pointing to still-resilient labor market conditions. Following a mixed jobs reports earlier this week, focus will be on the more comprehensive September non-farm payrolls data on Friday. Declining issues outnumbered advancers for a 1.50-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and a 1.22-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Charles, Henry Monchau, Neel Kashkari, Richmond's Thomas Barkin, Mary Daly, Michael Barr, Kevin McCarthy, Steve Scalise, Jim Jordan, Joe Biden, VinFast, Lamb, advancers, Ankika Biswas, Shashwat Chauhan, Shounak Dasgupta Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Companies, Dow, Nasdaq, U.S, Treasury, Syz Group, Healthcare, Labor, Dow Jones, Traders, Federal, Democratic, Rivian, EV, Dell Technologies, Lamb Weston Holdings, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Minneapolis, Bengaluru
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWishful thinking on a soft landing may be tested, Bank Syz chief investment officer saysCharles-Henry Monchau, CIO at Bank Syz, discusses the outlook for markets heading into the last months of the year.
Persons: Charles, Henry Monchau Organizations: Bank Syz
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCompetition for yields is moving flows from stock market to bonds, CIO saysCharles-Henry Monchau, CIO of Bank Syz, discusses the outlook for the U.S. Federal Reserve's monetary policy and what it means for stocks and bonds.
Persons: Charles, Henry Monchau, Bank Syz Organizations: Bank, U.S, U.S . Federal Locations: U.S .
LONDON/SYDNEY, July 31 (Reuters) - Commercial real estate investors and lenders are slowly confronting an ugly question - if people never again shop in malls or work in offices the way they did before the pandemic, how safe are the fortunes they piled into bricks and mortar? WALL OF DEBTGlobal banks hold about half of the $6 trillion outstanding commercial real estate debt, Moody's Investors Service said in June, with the largest share maturing in 2023-2026. U.S. banks revealed spiralling losses from property in their first half figures and warned of more to come. Borrowers in the UK real estate holding & development category were 4% more likely to default. But the whale could be commercial real estate in the U.S.".
Persons: Richard Murphy, Jeffrey Sherman, Charles, Henry Monchau, Bank Syz, Jones Lang LaSalle, Savills, JLL, Dhara Ranasinghe, Huw Jones, Clare Jim, Kirsten Donovan Organizations: Employers, UK's Sheffield University, Reuters, Investors, Moody's Investors Service, Fed, Federal, Bank, Suisse, Washington D.C, HSBC, Capital Economics, Thomson Locations: SYDNEY, London, Los Angeles and New York, U.S, New York, Beijing, San Francisco, Tokyo, Washington, Shanghai, North America, Hong Kong
Investors now expect China markets to stage a recovery in the second half of 2023. "(China) markets have baked in a lot of the doom and gloom in the economy given the declines since January's peak," said macroeconomist Aidan Yao. If it is the case, spreads will start to tighten across the board," said Monchau, adding that China is under-represented in portfolios. Franklin Templeton expects the recovery in Chinese markets to happen in stages, with opportunities in the industrial equipment and banking sectors. "China (is) at the nadir of its business and profits cycle, but also offering what we consider compelling valuations."
Persons: Aidan Yao, Yao, Goldman Sachs, Charles, Henry Monchau, Mark Haefele, Franklin Templeton, Anisha, Divya Chowdhury, Hugh Lawson Organizations: Investors, Reuters Global Markets, Syz, UBS, Thomson Locations: COVID, U.S, Japan, Germany, China, Asia, Bengaluru
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCommercial real estate is now one of the U.S. economy's weakest links, Syz saysCharles-Henry Monchau, chief investment officer at Syz Group, discusses the banking crisis and what it means for interest rates and inflation.
Axel Lehmann, chairman of Credit Suisse Group AG, left, and Colm Kelleher, chairman of UBS Group AG, during a news conference in Bern, Switzerland, on Sunday, March 19, 2023. "The accelerating loss of confidence and the escalation over the last few days have made it clear that Credit Suisse can no longer exist in its current form," Lehmann said. In equal parts "shotgun wedding" and arranged marriage, UBS agreed to buy stricken domestic rival Credit Suisse for 3 billion Swiss francs ($3.25 billion) on Sunday. The government will offer a loss guarantee of up to 9 billion Swiss francs, with UBS assuming the first 5 billion of potential losses. Shares of both UBS and Credit Suisse plunged on Monday morning, however.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThere is more volatility ahead for risk assets, investment officer saysBank Syz's Chief Investment Officer Charles-Henry Monchau looks ahead to the U.S. CPI data release and its likely impact on equity markets.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCIO says stock valuations are now more attractive — but still not attractive enoughCharles-Henry Monchau, chief investment officer of Bank Syz, discusses quarterly earnings expectations and market fundamentals over the coming months.
Britain's new Prime Minister Rishi Sunak walks past Larry the cat outside Downing Street, in London, Britain, October 25, 2022. "The fact that we have Rishi Sunak as prime minister is definitely calming on markets. We believe that it is under owned, it's unloved, undervalued, and there is some upside from here." Sunak in his inaugural speech outside Downing Street on Tuesday stressed the importance of "economic stability and confidence" while warning of "difficult decisions to come." Central to the potential stability narrative, as far as U.K. markets are concerned, is the assumption that the central bank will now be less aggressive in raising interest rates.
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